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Clinton won them by nearly 40 points in 2016, while Biden carried them by 23 points in 2020 and could go lower this year. The move among Black voters is more provisional and less pronounced, but still real and obviously worrying to Democrats given their investment in advertising directed at these voters and Biden’s recent fevered commencement address at Morehouse College.

It’s best to think of the Latino and Black voters telling pollsters that they support Trump as very much potential voters Trump will have to continue to make his case, and the Republican National Committee find ways to reach them and turn them out. But, as the Republican political analyst Patrick Ruffini points out, if culturally conservative non-whites break away from the Democratic coalition it would be a boon for the GOP.

What’s wrong with people of color? This year they could prove too politically independentminded.

Rich Lowry is editor of the National Review.

(c) 2024 by King Features Synd., Inc.